What will be the end of Saddam Hussein? Mussolini was lynched by partisans. Hitler killed himself in his bunker, rather than be taken by Russians. The Japanese went to war crime trials. None of these will sound appealing to Saddam.
A wild guess. He will try to make a deal, and enlist some international support to do so. Say to the Americans, OK, you aggressors, you have taken us, I will capitulate to avoid further bloodshed (including mine), and in the meantime, let’s have a ceasefire and talk about terms. Minimum, I want the exile you offered earlier. And we will say… no thanks, no ceasefire, no nothing, come out with your hands up and we’ll decide. And he’ll say, then watch all the carnage I will cause. And the UN and the Arab world will say… US, if you don’t deal, you’ll be responsible for the carnage.
My short-term predictions like this are always wrong. I hope this one is too.
Monday, April 07, 2003
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